tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New Orleans via Orlando: arrives on time 85%

  1. 23:05 PHX → 06:20 MCO
    WN 4508 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 MCO → 10:25 MSY +1 day
    WN 2668 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 20mPHX 23:05 to MSY 10:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.