tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Raleigh/Durham via Orlando: arrives on time 94%

  1. 23:05 PHX → 06:20 MCO
    WN 4508 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:20 MCO → 10:05 RDU +1 day
    WN 684 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 00mPHX 23:05 to RDU 10:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.