tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Los Angeles via Austin: arrives on time 9%

  1. 14:30 BNA → 16:40 AUS
    WN 451 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 AUS → 18:40 LAX
    WN 334 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 47% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection19%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 81% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (19%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip6h 10mBNA 14:30 to LAX 18:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.