tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Las Vegas via Santa Ana: arrives on time 29%

  1. 16:45 PHX → 18:00 SNA
    WN 4510 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 SNA → 20:10 LAS
    WN 2477 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip3h 25mPHX 16:45 to LAS 20:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.