Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Nashville via Tampa: arrives on time 43%

  1. 08:38 SAN → 16:28 TPA
    WN 4511 · Southwest · 4h 50m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 TPA → 18:15 BNA
    WN 4005 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 37mSAN 08:38 to BNA 18:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.