tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Baltimore via Phoenix: arrives on time 90%

  1. 17:15 SNA → 18:35 PHX
    WN 4514 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 PHX → 05:40 BWI +1 day
    WN 1170 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 25mSNA 17:15 to BWI 05:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.