tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albuquerque → Chicago via San Diego: arrives on time 63%

  1. 20:10 ABQ → 21:00 SAN
    WN 4521 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 SAN → 04:40 MDW +1 day
    WN 257 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Albuquerque). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 30mABQ 20:10 to MDW 04:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.