tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Las Vegas via Albuquerque: arrives on time 23%

  1. 14:50 BWI → 16:50 ABQ
    WN 4528 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 46% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Albuquerque (ABQ) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:42 ABQ → 18:20 LAS
    WN 137 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 78% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 27mBWI 14:50 to LAS 18:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.