tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → San Juan via Baltimore: arrives on time 60%

  1. 05:50 DTW → 07:20 BWI
    WN 4534 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:10 BWI → 12:25 SJU
    WN 4443 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 75% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 35mDTW 05:50 to SJU 12:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.