tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Salt Lake City via Las Vegas: arrives on time 31%

  1. 16:45 OAK → 18:20 LAS
    WN 4539 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 LAS → 22:12 SLC
    WN 4225 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip4h 25mOAK 16:45 to SLC 22:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.