tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Long Beach → Fort Lauderdale via Chicago: arrives on time 35%

  1. 08:15 LGB → 14:05 MDW
    WN 4542 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 MDW → 18:55 FLL
    WN 4899 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 51% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of Long Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip7h 40mLGB 08:15 to FLL 18:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.