tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Buffalo via Baltimore: arrives on time 48%

  1. 20:45 MCO → 20:55 BWI
    WN 455 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 55% on time, 7.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 BWI → 00:15 BUF +1 day
    WN 4577 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 68% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 3h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (7.3% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip3h 25mMCO 20:45 to BUF 00:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.