tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Fort Myers via Orlando: arrives on time 11%

  1. 18:15 ATL → 20:00 MCO
    WN 4558 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 MCO → 22:00 RSW
    WN 4709 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection18%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 82% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (18%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip3h 40mATL 18:15 to RSW 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.