tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → New York via Buffalo: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:55 BWI → 08:10 BUF
    WN 4566 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Buffalo (BUF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:00 BUF → 11:24 JFK
    DL 5426 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 24m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 29mBWI 06:55 to JFK 11:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.