tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → New Orleans via Orlando: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 08:20 MCO
    WN 4580 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 95% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:57 MCO → 11:51 MSY
    F9 3553 · Frontier · 1h 54m · 88% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 51mDCA 06:00 to MSY 11:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.