tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Chicago via Orlando: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 DCA → 08:20 MCO
    WN 4580 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 95% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:52 MCO → 13:02 ORD
    UA 2466 · United · 3h 10m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip8h 02mDCA 06:00 to ORD 13:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.