tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → New Orleans via Houston: arrives on time 12%

  1. 20:10 FLL → 21:45 HOU
    WN 4583 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 30% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 HOU → 23:45 MSY
    WN 2055 · Southwest · 1h 12m · 73% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection18%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 82% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (18%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 37mFLL 20:10 to MSY 23:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.