tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 8%

  1. 20:10 FLL → 21:45 HOU
    WN 4583 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 30% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 HOU → 23:15 PHX
    WN 2066 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 47% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection18%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 82% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time8%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (18%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip6h 05mFLL 20:10 to PHX 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.