tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Islip → Tampa via Baltimore: arrives on time 62%

  1. 09:10 ISP → 10:25 BWI
    WN 4584 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 95% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:50 BWI → 16:20 TPA
    WN 1121 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 10mISP 09:10 to TPA 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.