tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Louisville via Orlando: arrives on time 88%

  1. 22:50 LAS → 06:25 MCO
    WN 4590 · Southwest · 4h 35m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 MCO → 10:10 SDF +1 day
    WN 872 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 20mLAS 22:50 to SDF 10:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.