tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Newark via Orlando: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 MEM → 09:00 MCO
    WN 4596 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:45 MCO → 14:30 EWR
    UA 663 · United · 2h 45m · 82% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 30mMEM 06:00 to EWR 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.