tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Tampa via Dallas: arrives on time 21%

  1. 17:30 HOU → 18:40 DAL
    WN 46 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 73% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 DAL → 23:15 TPA
    WN 1417 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip4h 40mHOU 17:30 to TPA 23:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.