tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Atlanta via Nashville: arrives on time 22%

  1. 15:20 PHX → 20:40 BNA
    WN 4600 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:42 BNA → 10:45 ATL
    WN 447 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 32mPHX 15:20 to ATL 10:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.