tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Little Rock via Nashville: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:20 PHX → 20:40 BNA
    WN 4600 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 BNA → 23:50 LIT
    WN 4687 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Little Rock is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 30mPHX 15:20 to LIT 23:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.