tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Denver via Nashville: arrives on time 30%

  1. 15:20 PHX → 20:40 BNA
    WN 4600 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 BNA → 23:40 DEN
    WN 506 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 20mPHX 15:20 to DEN 23:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.