tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → San Antonio via Nashville: arrives on time 24%

  1. 15:20 PHX → 20:40 BNA
    WN 4600 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 BNA → 01:05 SAT +1 day
    WN 665 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 50mPHX 15:20 to SAT 01:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.