tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Minneapolis via Nashville: arrives on time 71%

  1. 15:20 PHX → 20:40 BNA
    WN 4600 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 BNA → 00:52 MSP +1 day
    WN 968 · Southwest · 2h 08m · 76% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 33mPHX 15:20 to MSP 00:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.