tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Columbus via Atlanta: arrives on time 27%

  1. 11:00 MDW → 13:50 ATL
    WN 4606 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 ATL → 16:55 CMH
    WN 191 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 55mMDW 11:00 to CMH 16:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.