tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Chicago via Baltimore: arrives on time 86%

  1. 05:50 SDF → 07:25 BWI
    WN 4612 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:32 BWI → 11:48 ORD
    UA 704 · United · 2h 16m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 58mSDF 05:50 to ORD 11:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.