tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Tampa via Baltimore: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:50 SDF → 07:25 BWI
    WN 4612 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 BWI → 11:00 TPA
    WN 1120 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip5h 10mSDF 05:50 to TPA 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.