tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Nashville via Baltimore: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:50 SDF → 07:25 BWI
    WN 4612 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 BWI → 10:35 BNA
    WN 487 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 45mSDF 05:50 to BNA 10:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.