tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Dallas via Baltimore: arrives on time 68%

  1. 05:50 SDF → 07:25 BWI
    WN 4612 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:15 BWI → 10:25 DAL
    WN 930 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 35mSDF 05:50 to DAL 10:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.