tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Indianapolis via Tampa: arrives on time 25%

  1. 16:25 AUS → 19:55 TPA
    WN 4618 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 TPA → 23:15 IND
    WN 3023 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 50mAUS 16:25 to IND 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.