Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Austin → Nashville via Tampa: arrives on time 15%
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16:25 AUS → 19:55 TPAWN 4618 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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50m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:45 TPA → 21:40 BNAWN 4006 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 15mAUS 16:25 to BNA 21:40, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.