tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → St Louis via Tampa: arrives on time 44%

  1. 16:25 AUS → 19:55 TPA
    WN 4618 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 TPA → 22:35 STL
    WN 4964 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 15mAUS 16:25 to STL 22:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.