tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Richmond via Baltimore: arrives on time 51%

  1. 06:45 BNA → 09:35 BWI
    WN 462 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:22 BWI → 11:18 RIC
    WN 705 · Southwest · 55m · 76% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip3h 32mBNA 06:45 to RIC 11:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.