tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:10 MDW → 07:25 LAX
    WN 4637 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:13 LAX → 10:46 SMF
    DL 3755 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 33m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip7h 36mMDW 05:10 to SMF 10:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.