tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 90%

  1. 05:10 MDW → 07:25 LAX
    WN 4637 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 LAX → 10:55 SMF
    WN 4454 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 45mMDW 05:10 to SMF 10:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.