tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 46%

  1. 19:10 HOU → 20:55 DEN
    WN 4639 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:08 DEN → 23:05 PHX
    WN 1685 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 65% on time, 11.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (11.5% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 56mHOU 19:10 to PHX 23:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.