tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Bozeman via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 17:05 MDW → 18:35 MSP
    WN 4643 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 65% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:23 MSP → 23:52 BZN
    DL 2954 · Delta · 2h 35m · 73% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 53mMDW 17:05 to BZN 23:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.