tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Denver via Houston: arrives on time 33%

  1. 16:40 MCO → 18:15 HOU
    WN 4654 · Southwest · 2h 32m · 53% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 HOU → 20:55 DEN
    WN 4639 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 15mMCO 16:40 to DEN 20:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.