tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Chicago via Baltimore: arrives on time 90%

  1. 05:35 MHT → 07:10 BWI
    WN 4657 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:32 BWI → 11:48 ORD
    UA 704 · United · 2h 16m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Manchester). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 13mMHT 05:35 to ORD 11:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.