tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Chicago via Baltimore: arrives on time 68%

  1. 05:35 MHT → 07:10 BWI
    WN 4657 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 BWI → 10:35 MDW
    WN 4217 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Manchester). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 00mMHT 05:35 to MDW 10:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.