tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → St Louis via Houston: arrives on time 47%

  1. 20:35 MSY → 21:50 HOU
    WN 4662 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 HOU → 00:45 STL +1 day
    WN 2087 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 05mMSY 20:35 to STL 00:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.