tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Las Vegas via Orlando: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:00 MSY → 07:50 MCO
    WN 4663 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 91% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 MCO → 11:45 LAS
    WN 4696 · Southwest · 4h 45m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 45mMSY 05:00 to LAS 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.