tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Seattle via Chicago: arrives on time 26%

  1. 11:45 MSY → 14:00 MDW
    WN 4664 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 72% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 MDW → 19:45 SEA
    WN 2890 · Southwest · 4h 30m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip10h 00mMSY 11:45 to SEA 19:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.