tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Reno via Burbank: arrives on time 52%

  1. 18:10 PHX → 19:30 BUR
    WN 4667 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Burbank (BUR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 BUR → 22:15 RNO
    WN 843 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 05mPHX 18:10 to RNO 22:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.