tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → St Louis via Baltimore: arrives on time 13%

  1. 18:05 BNA → 21:00 BWI
    WN 467 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 38% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 BWI → 23:10 STL
    WN 1118 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 50% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection27%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 73% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (27%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 05mBNA 18:05 to STL 23:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.