tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → San Diego via Dallas: arrives on time 9%

  1. 18:30 MSY → 20:00 DAL
    WN 4677 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 DAL → 21:45 SAN
    WN 1395 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip5h 15mMSY 18:30 to SAN 21:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.