tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Baltimore via Dallas: arrives on time 8%

  1. 18:30 MSY → 20:00 DAL
    WN 4677 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 DAL → 00:48 BWI +1 day
    WN 52 · Southwest · 2h 58m · 29% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time8%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (29%).
Total trip5h 18mMSY 18:30 to BWI 00:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.